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Another Bottom for Stocks Coming: Rogers
By: CNBC.com | Date: 2009-05-20
20 May 2009
The
stock market may hit new lows this year or the next as the current
rally has been largely caused by the money printed by central banks and
fundamental problems remain unsolved, legendary investor Jim Rogers
told CNBC Wednesday.
His
views echo those of renowned bear Marc Faber, who told CNBC last week
that the rises in share prices did not mean the world was embarking on
a path of sustainable economic growth.
"I'm not buying shares if that's what you mean. Not at all," Rogers told "Squawk Box Asia."
"The bottom will probably come later this year, next year, who knows when," he added.
Governments
have not solved the essential problems that caused the crisis but
instead they "flooded the world with money," according to Rogers.
Trying to solve the problem of too much consumption and too much debt
with more consumption "defies belief" and will not work, he said.
"I mean … you give me 5 or 6 trillion dollars, I'll show you a very good
time, there's no question about that," Rogers said.
A
long-term advocate of commodities, he reiterated that this will be the
first sector to rise when the world gets out of the crisis, as
investment in new mines, the oil sector and agriculture has been
curtailed during the crisis and this will create a shortage.
"Fundamentals for General Motors are not getting better. Fundamentals for Citibank
are not getting better. I can think of very few industries in the world
where the fundamentals are getting better. But the fundamentals of
commodities are getting better, full stop," he said.
"I
think I'm going to make more in agriculture, I think I'm going to make
more in some other real assets for awhile, I think I'll make more in
silver. But I do own gold," Rogers added. (Click here to read why Rogers thinks currencies are the next crisis).
The price of oil is also likely to remain high despite the fact that the recession is taking its toll on demand, he said.
"You
know supplies worldwide are declining at the rate of anywhere from 4 to
6 percent a year, yes, demand is down at the moment but in longer term,
unless somebody discovers a lot of oil very quickly, the surprise is
going to be how high the price of oil stays, and
how high it eventually
goes," Rogers added.
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